Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

17 jan 2021
5 684 329 Áhorf

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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of ISworlds centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
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Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

  • I think we all forget what kind of channel Matpat has, he is a Theorist. Yes, he is a good theorist but everybody isn’t always right. Maybe he did cheat, maybe he did not. Your all in the comments talking about how he dodged the question but really he’s literally just doing what he normally does. Yet you don’t say this when he makes different themes such as FNAF and other DDLC? Yet nobody from these games have stood up to things such as this? Why say all of this now because it’s a ISworldsr and not a game of which you can’t say to somebody’s face? Yes, it is basically click bait but what isn’t? My god people it’s 2021, click bait is everywhere right under your noses! Not even just on youtube and even I think you know that. Go ahead, comment down how wrong I am but you can’t deny that this is suspicious and seems acted. Yeah, he might be right but he isn’t a mind reader, the only person who knows whether they cheated or not is Dream. I wonder why it’s always the ISworldsr’s fault and not the game/game developers? 1.16 just came out when this event took place so their is bound to be bugs. But that still doesn’t mean Dream is off the hook and neither is MatPat. But remember, at the end of the day it’s just a theory everybody. :) (Please debate about this in the comments, I wanna see all of opinions on this :D)

    Honshu :]Honshu :]5 klukkustundum síðan
  • This channel helped me learn more than my class lol

    Oda SiamOda Siam7 klukkustundum síðan
  • 8:36 THEY"RE BOTH THE SAME! HA! Sorry so many comments. I'll do less next time

    Zack PumpkinheadZack Pumpkinhead7 klukkustundum síðan
  • 1:46 Warzone... huh? Have you heard of... 2b2t?

    Zack PumpkinheadZack Pumpkinhead7 klukkustundum síðan
  • No

    Matthew HoganMatthew Hogan8 klukkustundum síðan
  • conclusion: the speedrunning team is jealous

    Livie NoelleLivie Noelle9 klukkustundum síðan
    • Lol

      Hayden YHayden Y8 klukkustundum síðan
  • Pls he would be such a cool and good teacher

    kat hkat h9 klukkustundum síðan
    • Yea

      Hayden YHayden Y8 klukkustundum síðan
  • 7 times

    Glad Bros EntertainmentGlad Bros Entertainment9 klukkustundum síðan
  • Matpat is such a wuss the only reason he won’t say he is cheating is because he is scared to lose his kid subscribers but don’t you see Matpat your subscribers have now grown up dot. Be afraid to say he cheated

    Dr. RockerDr. Rocker9 klukkustundum síðan
  • Mat pls tell me pls!

    Rainbow PummmkinsRainbow Pummmkins10 klukkustundum síðan
  • I can smell the dream stan dislike this video.

    James7James712 klukkustundum síðan
  • hope you all have a nice week, wanted to let you know that Jesus loves you and died for you. you might think of this as annoying and you’ve seen it a lot, but it’s more than that. those who share this are happy with Christ and believe in eternal life and happiness. they want you to be a part of that too, and so do i. you can have your own opinion and i respect it and you can ignore this and that’s fine. stay safe. i believe in you. in whatever you want to do. God has not left you, and never will. again, Jesus Christ loves you so much. He is willing to heal you and anyone else no matter what they’ve done. He has died for us and proved that He is the Christ, Savior, and Protector. God heals us, even though we are wicked. think about that. may we not be ashamed to share His word, for He was not ashamed of us.

    RaisinTreeRaisinTree12 klukkustundum síðan
    • I would like to say the youtube comments are not the beat place for this kind of a statement

      Brandon MorehouseBrandon Morehouse11 klukkustundum síðan
  • Ppl are knocking matpat for not really answering, but he did give a more complex view of both arguments, and I don’t think that’s nothing.

    Dragon FireDragon Fire12 klukkustundum síðan
  • my view I don't think he cheated he clearly got a higher drop rate then normal but odds are just odds. The drop rate for endermen dropping ender pearls is around 50% of course that doesn't mean you're going to consistently drop 5 ender pearls for every 10 endermen its possible to kill 1000 endermen and them drop no enderpearl just its very very unlikely I dont know the probability percentage i imagine its extremely low but still not impossible.

    a channela channel14 klukkustundum síðan
  • When he started talking about the luck of the item drops, I just thought "so no one here has played a gacha game then" because the luck I've seen some people have by accident is ridiculous, versus some people who whale on them and don't get nearly as lucky (hence the whaling)

    bestofyosukebestofyosuke18 klukkustundum síðan
  • Mans pulled a Ranboo and didn't choose sides

    JamFoxxyJamFoxxy18 klukkustundum síðan
  • 2:21 relatable ;-;

    FreesmartBros2007FreesmartBros200720 klukkustundum síðan
  • Ah yes, clickbait

    AncientAmber YTAncientAmber YT21 klukkustund síðan
    • Well yes but actually no

      Brandon MorehouseBrandon Morehouse11 klukkustundum síðan
  • I thought condoms when u said latex, but i noticed the quadratic formula short after 😂. What am i?

    K'Sean RichardsonK'Sean Richardson22 klukkustundum síðan
  • So everyone's hating matpat here because he doesnt know something? Makes sense

    DONT wamtDONT wamtDegi Síðan síðan
  • So... He did? Because any Dream stans that disagree better bend over.

    Out by the Water in Cape MayOut by the Water in Cape MayDegi Síðan síðan
  • help me with me math pls

    •peachs bunzs ôwø••peachs bunzs ôwø•Degi Síðan síðan
  • İmagine dream commenting

    ENOENODegi Síðan síðan
  • I think 100 times

    Ariel FloresAriel FloresDegi Síðan síðan
  • The real problem is that profesional mathmeticians and scientists can spend hours of time just to debunk a minecraft speedrun... Do they really not have anything better to do with their life??

    Zain HudaZain HudaDegi Síðan síðan
  • :0

    Dream the animatorDream the animatorDegi Síðan síðan
  • Some people took this video the wrong way bc there are quite a lot of dislikes

    chrichuchrichuDegi Síðan síðan
  • Its funny bc they're talking about high luck but there was a game my dad played and literally got a 0.01% chance weapon 5 time in a row (DFFOO)

  • Awsome

    Jamie BrophyJamie BrophyDegi Síðan síðan
  • Sir, I seem to be missing an answer in this video

    raystrashcanraystrashcanDegi Síðan síðan
  • Coin ten times

    Juliet TorresJuliet TorresDegi Síðan síðan
  • for anyone who’s angry about lack of an answer it says FINAL ANALYISIS NOT FINAL ANSWER

    lars thememelordlars thememelordDegi Síðan síðan
  • Yeah, you can say that it's 69.2 percent, but if people didn't watch other people's videos, that is 8.8 x 10 to the power of MINUS 12. That is(near) one in a 8800000000000 chance of getting JUST the blaze rods. Including ender pearls, which are (again near) one in 5600000000000 chance, then yeah. And both of them together, are (near) 1 in 2000000000000000000000 chance of getting them.

    Vanja NenadovićVanja NenadovićDegi Síðan síðan
  • 7/10

    Galand Commandment Of TruthGaland Commandment Of TruthDegi Síðan síðan
  • I don’t trust Dream He’s cheating I hate him!

    עדי קרימרעדי קרימרDegi Síðan síðan
    • I don’t think you should hate him.

      Brandon MorehouseBrandon Morehouse11 klukkustundum síðan
  • 69%

    MegaMathew75MegaMathew75Degi Síðan síðan
  • I wish matpat was my math teacher

    aileyaileyDegi Síðan síðan
  • is p hacking hacking wile ur peeing?

    Djd250Djd250Degi Síðan síðan
  • Ohh well did you know in one of dreams speedrun when he placed the boats in mid air actually there were barriers and there were barriers in the other speedrun when he placed boats in the lava there were barriers because how can he place things in mid air I tried it to and do all his hacks and a failure so he’s fake speedrunning

    W Aliff Naufal W M SyuhaidiW Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi2 dögum síðan
    • That makes no sense, and i agree with your final statement. Your explanation just doesn’t work

      Brandon MorehouseBrandon Morehouse11 klukkustundum síðan
  • did dream fake it? heres the time 23:29

  • Wait, did dream cheat or not?

    Anicka AmaefuleAnicka Amaefule2 dögum síðan
  • I guess the 100 thingy option because if you take away the one zero each from sixty and hundred you can see that that's right. Yes I'm THIS bad at explaining I watched the video and I think I were wrong. I didn't really understand sooo. Have a great life

    Anicka AmaefuleAnicka Amaefule2 dögum síðan
  • I have no idea what Matpat says every video I watch but that has yet to stop me from watching them

    Levi CrosbyLevi Crosby2 dögum síðan
  • Matpat has really gone downhill.....

    Benny WindipoBenny Windipo2 dögum síðan
  • Man this is hella annoying. Just say he's wrong or shill for him goddamit

    MebaMeba2 dögum síðan
  • Anybody else noticed mr.beast😂

    The lordThe lord2 dögum síðan
  • You can tell mat came to the conclusion he cheated but didn’t wanna say it cuz of the stans

    Eldudio 14Eldudio 142 dögum síðan
  • The answer is... Nothing hahahaha

    • Møno •• Møno •2 dögum síðan
  • This is over a bunch of Minecraft pixels, a video game...

    SarcasmSarcasm2 dögum síðan
    • Yes because things that happen on the internet have no effect on the real world

      Bottom TextBottom TextDegi Síðan síðan
  • Twitch Rivals did competitive minecraft bingo. it was great.

    Matt SweeneyMatt Sweeney2 dögum síðan
  • 60 out of 100

    alex manleyalex manley2 dögum síðan
  • I dont hate Dream and i do find some of his vids fun to watch, but i did knew that it wasnt a smart decision to fight against the Minecraft speedrun mod team. There have been alot of cheating investigations in the past with other games and the people who expose speedrunners for cheating take their job seriously, they are like detectives trying to figure out a murder investigation or a mystery. Doing things like using Audacity for checking things in the sounds of the recording, recreating speedruns with slow speed, checking every fricking pixel in the screen with Photoshop etc.

    The Oshawott KingThe Oshawott King2 dögum síðan
  • 8:37 i think the first one , the one with flipping a coin ten times and getting heads 7 times 9:00 yaaaay

    Peri UluirmakPeri Uluirmak2 dögum síðan
  • Why are there so many dislikes

    Jordon LottJordon Lott2 dögum síðan
    • and probably because he has no conclusion

      Muhammad SolehMuhammad SolehDegi Síðan síðan
    • Probably all the dream stans

      Commander_Chop_Stix YTCommander_Chop_Stix YT2 dögum síðan
  • 100

    itzmattaf777itzmattaf7772 dögum síðan
  • 0:12 wait mat are you there when mr beast is giving away like 25 ps5's

    GTG GlennGTG Glenn2 dögum síðan
  • I think dream doesn’t fake his speedruns i think dream is super lucky

    Epic OceanEpic Ocean2 dögum síðan
    • @Gameslug and when did I say dream didn't cheat?

      StrikeYTStrikeYTDegi Síðan síðan
    • @Gameslug gosh I didn't expect a slug will be so mean

      StrikeYTStrikeYTDegi Síðan síðan
    • he cheated. No more opinions, only facts

      Muhammad SolehMuhammad SolehDegi Síðan síðan
    • Both of you idiots dream cheated. The data shows that he did.

      GameslugGameslug2 dögum síðan
    • This vid was uploaded 1 month ago and dream proves That he didn't cheat

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
  • I love how people dislike the video without watching it 🤣

    Big SheeshBig Sheesh2 dögum síðan
  • Mr beast buy the store again

    Shubham SainiShubham Saini2 dögum síðan
  • Those of y'all in the comments making fun of the fact how MatPat asked the question, but didn't exactly answer it, please reread the title. "A Final Analysis." Definition of Analysis- (n.) detailed examination of the elements or structure of something. Meaning an explanation or investigation, but not exactly the final answer. So basically you set yourself up by clicking the damn video.

    ohnoohno3 dögum síðan
    • Your really smart for a mouse

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan

    Mollie Star ForeverMollie Star Forever3 dögum síðan
    • Eggsodic buhddersz

      _K I L L E R • Q U E E N__K I L L E R • Q U E E N_2 dögum síðan
  • He did. End of story.

    YagsterrYagsterr3 dögum síðan
    • Exactly

      GameslugGameslug2 dögum síðan
  • On any other channel I wouldn't point this out, but since its Game Theory and I know we like details around here, the exterior of that Tardis from 2:29 is from the 11/12th Doctor's tenure however the interior is from the 9/10th Doctor's run. Just saying!

    Lewys CousinsLewys Cousins3 dögum síðan
  • I couldn’t care less if he cheated or not, no matter how you look at it, Dream is still one the best Minecraft players to exist.

    s1lvDrag0ns1lvDrag0n3 dögum síðan
    • And just because He is good at PvP doesn't mean that his the best player in the world dream stan

      StrikeYTStrikeYTDegi Síðan síðan
    • This is about integrity. Also dream is average, notice how he never fights any actual pvpers? I could fight a below average player and look like a PvP god too.

      Bottom TextBottom TextDegi Síðan síðan
    • He is not the best Minecraft player. He is good at 1.16 pvp but not the best. He also has average building and redstone skills. Also he is nowhere near the top of 1.8 pvp

      GameslugGameslug2 dögum síðan
    • Yes, so good he has to cheat.

      LeonardLeonard2 dögum síðan
    • Technoblade: are you sure about that?

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
  • 100 times and getting 60 heads

    Kason LairKason Lair3 dögum síðan
  • I'm pretty sure the answer was 1) You CAN'T have an answer especially given the fact both sides can't have conclusive evidence to prove Dream did or didn't cheat and that the experiment itself wasn't infallible so what MatPat had to work with was skewed one way or another. 2) Generally? Why are we speedrunning Minecraft??? Especially now that nether fortresses have become rarer since the recent nether update and that your ability to be fastest are decided by some factors are now up to luck and not skill. That's what I got from the video anyway.

    Kayla PowersKayla Powers3 dögum síðan
    • Imagine being so lucky you could have won the lottery multiple times a day for your entire life but you waste all that luck on Minecraft.

      Bottom TextBottom TextDegi Síðan síðan
  • As an Econometrics Major, I can confirm that this video is a great intro into how statistics can be applied to the real world, and I appreciate it being made

    Conner McKinnonConner McKinnon3 dögum síðan
    • Sampling Bias, Law of Large Iterations, getting closer to the mean as you increase sample size, these are all fundamental truths to statistics, and you must take these things into consideration or you could end up falsely accusing someone. These numbers show that Dream 99.9999999% cheated - there is no 100%.

      Conner McKinnonConner McKinnon3 dögum síðan
  • is everyone going to ignor mr beast in the intro

    Xavier ElwoodXavier Elwood3 dögum síðan
  • i mad

    n reddickn reddick3 dögum síðan
    • Why?

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
  • 11:27 What? W H A T ?

    Akaash RaghunathAkaash Raghunath3 dögum síðan
  • 3 year olds: oh i dont see a red one cause i already pressed it let me press it again Matpat: NOOOOOO

    Scxrd VizeScxrd Vize3 dögum síðan
  • 17:51 why no target block :(

    BeetlessBeetless3 dögum síðan
  • spoiler: he... F*ck it. ya gotta watch the video.

    Cora at HomeCora at Home3 dögum síðan
  • I think that the olympics are scripted as I can’t run as fast as them or jump as high as them

    Kyle KKyle K3 dögum síðan
    • What are you trying to say?

      Bottom TextBottom Text2 dögum síðan
  • So was it fake or not

    Tommy McTommy Mc3 dögum síðan
    • @GameslugUmmm Fine Then dream cheated and he just don't want to admit it

      StrikeYTStrikeYTDegi Síðan síðan
    • @StrikeYT What do you mean you "like techo more"? You can obviously tell from that statement alone that you're a child. It's like thinking Xbox is better than PS4 or vice versa, they are 2 different things and only children compare them and fight over which is better.

      Bottom TextBottom TextDegi Síðan síðan
    • @StrikeYT you are 100% a dream stan, you are just too embarrassed to admit it. He did cheat.

      GameslugGameslug2 dögum síðan
    • Dream didn't fake it I'm not a dream Stan like at all I personally like techno But Dream didn't fake the speedrun it's just the mods are just dumb

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
    • Yes it was

      WheatleyWheatley3 dögum síðan
  • i learned more from this video than a whole year in ap stats

    jbonejbone3 dögum síðan
  • 16:40 no joke the day this video came out I had a guest lecturer come into my college class-- hes the guy who helped make this site....thats really coincidental

    Sidney WateskiSidney Wateski3 dögum síðan
  • The aback den spontaneously travel because tortellini sicily wonder minus a friendly dragon. furry furtive, available myanmar

    Huynh Hong NhatHuynh Hong Nhat3 dögum síðan
    • Nice Spelling bro

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
  • this video is more like my maths class .

    Dan DavidDan David3 dögum síðan
  • I know MatPat uses a lot of mathematical methods to back up his theories, but what was the intro (0:00 - 0:52)? Yes, you use mathematical methods to prove your theories but why are you demeaning some other profession. It came out very salty on your part. If you're trying to show that you're smarter than a professor then you have to reconsider your position. Professors are smart and that's why they are at universities. Your videos are becoming more and more pompous. I guess that's the difference between your videos and someone like Veritasium. And for claiming so much about reading 20+ page paper you might want to get your notation and numbers right. The probability of 7 heads out of 10 coin flips = 11.72 % and not 17%. The probability of 60 heads out of 100 coin flips = 1.08 % and not 2.82%. Reference - Leon-Garcia, Alberto. "Probability, statistics, and random processes for electrical engineering." (2017). Chapter 2. You might want to run your other numbers again (for the rest of your video).

    Sandeep BanikSandeep Banik3 dögum síðan
  • if you see mrbeast in the video its so werid please if you want to find him you will see him in the start with all stuff

    CROW TBCROW TB3 dögum síðan
    • He's a big ISworldsr of course he's used as a prop. It's not like Mr.Beast is some tiny ISworldsr with a few hundred subscribers

      Bottom TextBottom TextDegi Síðan síðan
  • So imitating politicians As one Argentine president once said , "I give a NO positive"

    Zaara EvZaara Ev3 dögum síðan
  • Dream: *sees that people make these videos* Also Dream: *go’s out of his way to prove that they’re wrong*

    Untitled CreatorUntitled Creator3 dögum síðan
    • Ummm matpat didn't said it was fake or real

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
    • @Wheatley but he di- ok then, whatever. I don’t care.

      Untitled CreatorUntitled Creator3 dögum síðan
    • He faked it tho

      WheatleyWheatley3 dögum síðan
  • Um I thought you did a collab with dream?

    Ridhishree ChowdhuryRidhishree Chowdhury3 dögum síðan
    • Ummmm so?

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
  • Is no one else paying attention that MatPat made a Juice WRLD joke lmao

    MoreYourPopsMoreYourPops3 dögum síðan
  • i was skipping most of the video and now he's talking about smash wtf?

    MarkatMarkat3 dögum síðan

    OK KO PortlandOK KO Portland3 dögum síðan

      GameslugGameslug2 dögum síðan
    • Ok dream stan

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan

      ChillogamerhatChillogamerhat3 dögum síðan
    • Dream stan

      NightSaniKNightSaniK3 dögum síðan
  • 5:07 No one says it like that

    BeetlessBeetless3 dögum síðan
  • All these people hating in the commnets because they only know how to hate Dream and never even watched GameTheory

    August needs to get a lifeAugust needs to get a life3 dögum síðan
    • But he did cheat

      Bottom TextBottom TextDegi Síðan síðan
  • Ahh yes edicuetion

    Ethan ColemanEthan Coleman3 dögum síðan
  • The first one

    Danny DelaneyDanny Delaney3 dögum síðan
    • @Bottom Text bro I got a new account are you that dumb?

      StrikeYTStrikeYTDegi Síðan síðan
    • @StrikeYT why tf is there a child with a day old account commenting on here

      Bottom TextBottom TextDegi Síðan síðan
    • Yeah still a month late but still first

      StrikeYTStrikeYT2 dögum síðan
  • I was hoping Mat to say yes/no then the evidence.... I mean Mat can judge it because we all know it's just a game theory it's not really a true video (I mean ain't this a video all about?)

    XxAnimeBoyxXXxAnimeBoyxX3 dögum síðan
  • I usually don’t watch your videos anymore cause of the HOLLOW KNIGHT one... but imma watch this

    Cupcake KittenCupcake Kitten3 dögum síðan
  • I'm just thinking about Roy Cleveland Sullivan, a park ranger that got struck by lightning 7 times (or acording to him 8 times) when I come across this topic. I'm not the best at this kind of math, but even if you take it in to acount that he worked in conditions where he's much more likely to get struck by lightning than the average person, I seem to remember that acording to statistics there should've never been anyone who would even get close to get struck by lightning as much as him through the history of ever, but yet it happened. And this is without calculating the survivability of getting struck by lightning. So I just can't tell with this kind of issue. But since I like Dream and I don't think that this topic is the most important political debate ever, I've decided to live in bliss and to not hold anything agains anyone since that stresses me out :) I like it when people get along.

    Isak LidmanIsak Lidman3 dögum síðan
    • A good thing to also take into account was that this occurred over like 30+ years of him working at that park, while Minecraft 1.16 hasn't even been out a full year yet.

      LeonardLeonard2 dögum síðan
  • I was hoping with the monkeys and typewriters theorem segment, you’d bring up the British scientists to get six zoo monkey and try the experiment out. After 4 weeks the monkeys like typing S, urinated on the typewriters, and one bashed a typewriter into pieces. Look it up

    SketchBlitzSketchBlitz3 dögum síðan
  • Maybe they should add fruitberries and Illumina and have them 3 try to finish minecraft first with the same seed

    Chi _ laxzChi _ laxz3 dögum síðan
  • Hmm dream cheated, i guess I'll go watch techno now.

    Chi _ laxzChi _ laxz3 dögum síðan
  • I dont know why people is so upset that someone cheat. Well i mean: i think he cheated

    Chi _ laxzChi _ laxz3 dögum síðan
  • when u realize that game theory is smarter than your teacher and or your profesor

    Nerd TheoryNerd Theory3 dögum síðan
  • My prop are is 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000001%

    Zack FritzZack Fritz3 dögum síðan